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Corona Pandemic : Natural Selection April 1, 2020

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Corona deaths is rising. At this moment , according to Wordometer the corona cases in the world is 860,095 and  death is

42,344.  In Bangladesh the case no is 54 and death is 6. Bangladesh is the one of the lowest case reported and death recorded country.
On the contrary, USA is at the highest case reported 188,592 and death recorded 4055 , Italy case reported 105,792 and death recorded 12428 both the countries surpasses the case record of China of 81,554.
For Bangladesh bad days are coming ahead. Because of density of population, poor economic state, poor critical care service Bangladesh is at its wit’s end how to combat the storm. Different countries are observing lock down for 3 or more weeks., Bangladesh is also observing a sort of lock down for about 2 weeks. But Bangladesh will not be able to continue the lock down beyond 2 to 3 weeks. People will come out of their house because of daily bread earning. The chance of community transmission will be increased. Most of the people who came from abroad couldn’t be put into isolation or quarantine. That also compound the problem of community transmission. The Total ICU bed in Bangladesh may 500 to 600 only. Out of this 100 may be dedicated for corona care.

If  hundreds and thousands of people are affected by corona virus that Bangladesh has a possibility, what will happen to Bangladesh. The virus may be spread like wildfire. Limited hospital beds will be occupied and no ICU bed will be available for the critical patients. Natural Selection will take over the fate of Bangladesh people.  If 25% of the population may be affected- 4 crore of people. As the statistics go, 80% will be of mild form that is 3.2 crore . Out of remaining 20% , 15% will have moderate symptoms and 5 % will be severely affected. i,e  40 lacs. Out of this 5% , 2-3 % may require ventilator support – . So in total Bangladesh may require 25 lac ventilators, the no will never be possible to procure and will have to leave the patients to Natural Selection.

Natural Selection means the patients will have to overcome the onslaught of the disease by their immune system. Those patients who are  younger,  better immune status and have no co-morbidity  will survive.
Nature may even support Bangladesh in a different way-If high temperature and high humidity prevent the growth of the virus, the corona case may not that much increase in Bangladesh and we will be saved.
WHO says today that the pandemic is not yet over special for Asia.
An ordinary citizen

Corona Pandemic : Challenges for India March 31, 2020

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Corona pandemic also affects India. Lock down was imposed in the country when the no of corona cases only hit about 500. Many appreciated the boldness of PM Modi to declare the lock down over 1.3 billion people in such a straight way. The WHO also appreciated his effort saying India is the epicenter to fight against the Corona Pandemic.

But people started asking question whether the effort is timely and all comprehensive.
Detecting cases was initially slow. Only those coming from abroad and tracing contact of positive cases were only done. Detection labs were few than the need demands. By the more labs were permitted and equipped, many cases may be lost in the community.

Hundreds of thousands daily earners become jobless and fell in uncertainty,  started to leave the cities to reach their home defying the assurance of the chief ministers and breaking the basic principle of social distancing. The travel may cause transmission of the virus beyond the cities and into the rural areas.

Central and state governments are trying to stop the migrant workers at the borders by sealing the borders and pushing back the workers to the cities creating a humanitarian crisis at places.

Security forces went to the extent to pour water mixed with bleaching powder onto the escaping workers with their families including children. The measure was immediately condemned and authority explained that the instruction was to clean the transports only in which the migrants were carrying away.

By today, the total case in India is 1251 and death is 32.

Let us see whether India is at the end of its struggle or at the start of the long journey.

 

An ordinary citizen

 

 

Corona Pandemic : Vulnerability of Bangladesh March 30, 2020

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Corona is raging through the countries starting from Wuhan China in December 2019, then devastating initially China , then attacking other countries -Iran, Italy and other European countries,  USA and Canada, India  and  Bangladesh and by now 200 countries of the world are affected.

Though so far by this time Bangladesh only 49 cases infected and 5 deaths. But Bangladesh  is vulnerable to Corona attack as I see for many a reasons :

Bangladesh is  a poor country and not equipped to cope with the onslaught of the Corona.

Bangladesh health structure is poor and Intensive care is very limited .

Lock down is imposed . But support to the poor is limited .

Bailing out  of the economy is limited.

Detection of the cases is still limited and isolation and quarantine measures are inadequate.

The steps to contain the virus started late.

Political divisiveness is sharp. National consensus is poor.

 

An ordinary citizen

 

 

A Photographer Named Shahidul Alam August 21, 2018

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Shahidul Alam: A Singular Voice in Photography for Dignity and Human Rights
Why did Bangladesh arrest Shahidul Alam?
Who Is Afraid of Shahidul Alam?
National Geographic calls for Shahidul Alam’s immediate release

In Search for Safe Road August 5, 2018

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Reckless driving takes two young lives
Protests flare up
Dhaka shaken by youth spirit

Protesters resolute

Students chased, beaten up in Mirpur, Ctg
Road safety demo continues for sixth day
Bus ‘strike’ makes people suffer

4 Daily Star journalists assaulted
Total disorder
Protest spreads outside Dhaka

Students take to streets, control traffic for 7th day

Bangladesh students paralyze Dhaka with road safety protests

Minute by minute: Saturday’s protest ends with violence in Jigatola

BCL in its element
a song commemorating the protest

শক্তির উদ্বোধন

Snapshots of a violent afternoon
Pounced again
Shahidul Alam picked up by DB
Actress Nawshaba on 4-day remand
How dare you hit my child!
FB being used to spread false information
Bashundhara battlefield

Global rights group slams Bangladesh government for attacks

UN worried about safety of children

Quota Reform Movement -A Disturbing Development July 7, 2018

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Quota Reform Demand: Demos roll into day 4

Commentary: Why this merciless beating?

Girl shares horrors of assault, abuse by anti-quota reform men, cops

Just arrest!

Quota reform movement: Students seek teachers’ support

Quota Movement: BCL swoops on reformists

Quota reform movement a conspiracy against government, AL leaders claim

রাবিতে কোটা সংস্কার আন্দোলনকারীদের ওপর ছাত্রলীগের দফায় দফায় হামলা

কোটা সংস্কার আন্দোলন অযৌক্তিক : স্বরাষ্ট্রমন্ত্রী

Quota reform: ‘BCL activists’ beat CU Chhatra Front men

‘হাতুড়ির নিচে জীবন’

জঙ্গিদের মতো ভিডিও দেওয়া ও ছাত্রীদের ব্যবহার করা হচ্ছে: উপাচার্য

‘Quota-reform leader Suhel picked up’

Quota reform movement: Demonstrators call for nationwide boycott of classes, exams starting Thursday

PM warns against anarchy

Quota: Legal notices issued to DU, RU on inactions against BCL

Students demand DU proctor’s resignation

Analysis and Comments on Bangladesh Budget 2018-19 June 8, 2018

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Lofty Goal,Fragile Base

No Cheers Tax Measures 

Safety Net Widens

Bowing to Banks

Business as usual Budget

Interest Burden getting heavier

Digital Services : when popular, made pricier 

Health Care uncared for 

A little for stock investors

No prescription for slow virus 

Digital marketing comes under tax net           

Bangladesh Budget 2018-19 June 8, 2018

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Budget at a glance : https://mof.portal.gov.bd/sites/default/files/files/mof.portal.gov.bd/page/e9e8a8c8_8a8b_4536_a18b_fc5ca696650a/At_A_Galance_en.pdf

Budget Speech : https://mof.portal.gov.bd/sites/default/files/files/mof.portal.gov.bd/page/b29661b6_927f_4012_9f83_5ac47dbd6ebd/Speech_EN_18_19.pdf
Summary of Budgt estimates :

https://mof.portal.gov.bd/sites/default/files/files/mof.portal.gov.bd/page/49a0b4a8_a06a_434d_ac0e_885d85f92ff7/afs_st_00_e.pdf


Supplemenary Budget :https://mof.portal.gov.bd/site/page/4deed460-37ed-4cfa-bf7a-d46c1fbc5238

Bangladesh Budget 2017-18 June 2, 2017

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Finance Minister MA Muhith proposed national budget for FY 2017-18 in the parliament on 1st June 2017 . I personally feel that to understand the budget one should go through the full budget, try to understand it, then analyse and then give one’s comment.

Budget in English – Index

Budget speech

Budget in Brief

Budget in Bangla – Cover page

Index 

Full Budget

Budget in brief 

Amnesty International on Bangladesh 2017 May 4, 2017

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https://www.amnesty.org/en/countries/asia-and-the-pacific/bangladesh/report-bangladesh/

https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2017/05/bangladesh-dissenting-voices-trapped-between-fear-and-repression/

 

 

Islam Is Taking Over Europe – ‘Without Swords, Without Guns, Without Conquest’ January 26, 2017

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http://observer.com/2017/01/muslim-population-europe-religion-growing-worldwide/

Muslim devotees pray during the Friday noon prayers during the World Muslim Congregation, also known as Biswa Ijtema, at Tongi, some 30 kms north of Dhaka on January 13, 2017.

Most & Least Corrupt Countries January 25, 2017

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Most corrupt & Least corrupt countries of the world. Bangladesh is at 15th.  

Courtesy of Transparency International

Murder of the wife of a police officer September 14, 2016

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This is something unusual in Bangladesh- to kill the wife to take revenge on a police officer. But this happened on morning June 5 2016  at Chittagong when the mother of 2 children was shot dead from close range when she was  walking towards the school bus to lift her elder son. The husband, promoted to SP few days  earlier, away to Dhaka to join his new assignment.

sp-1

The event made Babu Akhter known to every citizen for the tragedy  and the pain deepens for the professional excellence and recognition that he had achieved by this time. People got the impression that his wife was murdered because of  his action against the militants and the terrorists over the last few years. Coming  back from Dhaka he himself lodged the case against the unknown killers and bowed to take the revenge. Police arrested few suspects,  2 of whom were also killed in the crossfire. sp-2

He returned back to Dhaka with his 2 children and started to stay in his father-in-laws house. Bereaved and shocked he didn’t join his office. A few days later he was taken to the Police Headquarter at midnight, he was quizzed for 15 hours his alleged involvement in the killing of his wife. He was released after the interrogation. Later we are informed from Police authority that he was given the option to resign from his job or to face jail. He preferred to resign. But he himself said nothing to the media. His father-in-law, who was also a police officer, denied any involvement of him in the murder. People raised question why on earth a man would kill his wife hiring miscreants and if he did the murder why it is not be proved by proper evidence and be punished by the judiciary. sp-3

Weeks later he went to the Police Office and put an application expressing his willingness to join his service withdrawing his earlier resignation. His application was forwarded to the higher authority. But before his joining was considered , his earlier letter of resignation was accepted by the President of the Republic and notified in the gazette. The whole process has made in a very short span of time  which is totally unprecedented in Bangladesh context. In the debate, Prime Minister has taken no side. But people had expected that his case would be considered fairly.

The termination was a double blow for the man.

And there is no progress in the murder case.

 

An ordinary citizen

Killings at Holey Artisan Bakery, Gulshan, Dhaka July 6, 2016

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On the night of 1st July  when I switched the knob to Somoy TV past 10 pm, I came across the live telecast of the seize of Holey Artisan Bakery at Gulshan by some gunmen. Breath-holding we were following the events. RAB, Police and people were gathered outside the area. Injured police and civil dressed person came out from dark to the scene and they were taken away for treatment. Then heard 2 officers have been killed by the miscreants and 30 police were admitted in United Hospital. Past 11 pm , Mr. Benajir Ahmed, Chief of RAB came to the spot and asked the reporters to stop their live telecast as it would benefit the miscreants and made the work difficult for law enforcers.

From then on, TV channels were only telecasting the update news on the event. I was listening to a lengthy analysis in 71 TV by a Top Security Analyst after 12 am. But he was fearing that the discussion might be heard by the miscreants also and might use it to set their strategy.Later we were informed that all the telephone and TV lines were cut off by the police by that time. The channel then telecast an interview with an Indian Citizen whose daughter was inside the cafe. He was asking why the law enforcers not then start negotiation with the hostage takers.

At 4 pm, there were no new updates. More people thronged the place, more law enforcers in the surrounding. People were pushed away beyond a barricade line.

Past 7-30 am, army made the raid and killed the miscreants-  6-7 in number (later the no is adjusted to 5). By this time, the miscreants have killed 20 hostages, 9 of them Italians, 7 from Japan and 3 from Bangladesh. Army rescued 11 hostages, 3 of whom are foreigners.

On my first thought , I was on the impression that the miscreants would be from Madrasha  (religious educational institutions) and astonished to find that most of them are from English Medium School/College or University and from well off families.

It is highly disturbing why these boys from affluent families took up this path of destruction for themselves and for others. Probably this conviction came out of psychological conflicts these children were suffering in their home and in society, more at home. In Bangladesh, affluence come more in illegal ways that may distort the psyche of these children and prompted them to take  up a short-cut way to correct the society and to pay off the debts of their parents.

An ordinary citizen

News Link : Dhaka cafe attack ends with 20 hostages among dead

Attack result of failed institution

Dhaka restaurant attack designed to reverberate globally

Sheikh Hasina must call Islamic Terrorism what it is 

Union Council Elections-killings and Clashes May 29, 2016

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Bangladesh is undergoing elections in phases at union council level – its grass-root. So far 92 people have been died in the election and many more injured.

Local elections was so far on non-party basis. This time the Government changed it to party-basis and total scenario has been changed. It is now turns into a festival of clashes, killings and vote rigging.

As predicted, pro-government  candidates won most of seats.

But democracy is decaying and people are loosing power.

 

An ordinary citizen

 

Judiciary vs Parliament on Removal of Judges May 7, 2016

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High Court in Bangladesh scrapped the 16th amendment that empowered the parliament to remove the judges from higher courts.[1] [2]
The members of Parliament in the running session hit out at Judiciary for making the amendment.[1][2] Attorney General indicates that Government will appeal against the amendment in the next working day.

 

An ordinary citizen

Bangladesh Bank, Governor, Selection Policy April 14, 2016

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There is no selection policy for Governor of Bangladesh Bank. 

Unemployment, Opportunity & GDP in Bangladesh April 9, 2016

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Employment survey 2015 of BSS is published. 

A PM and an Editor February 26, 2016

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Mahfuz Anam, editor of Daily Star, leading English daily in Bangladesh made a blunder by committing a mistake he had done in 2007-8 during the tenure of semi-army government in publishing some reports on Sk. Hasina, now PM of the country. The reports were provided by Army intelligence and published without independently verifying by the editor. Sk. Hasina was behind the bar for 11 months during the period and the then government was accused of trying to remove 2 leading ladies , Sk. Hasina and Khaleda Zia from politcics.

So far 79 cases have been filed , some of them are defamation and others are sedition cases, submitted by different citizens at different courts of the country. Ministers and MPs also expressed their anger and opinion against Mahfuz Anam. Sk. Hasina, after remaining silent for few days, at last speaks out her mind against the editor in a gathering of party leaders and activists.

International and national organizations of journalists and eminent citizens of the country protested against the harassment on Mahfuz Anam.

A minister urged to form a commission to inquire into the events of  1/11, the term that popularly represent that government.

The problem is that 1/11 government was supported then many of AL  and BNP lawmakers and many civil and military leaders.

 

An ordinary citizen

 

 

Facebook is closed in Bangladesh November 27, 2015

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Facebook is closed for more than 7 days in Bangladesh.Other applications such as Viber,Whats up, messenger and few more were also banned along with facebook. The FB is closed on the pretext of terrorist attacks before the execution of 2 War Crime convicts.[1]
The execution is over but the authority is no mood to open the FB. They may continue it on security reasons for indefinite period. Bloggers, foreigners, priest ,ethnic minorities have been attacked and killed in recent times by unknown assailants. Prominent intellectuals were also threatened through mobile messages. It is not well understood whether the facebook has played any role in these incidents.[1]

15 millions Bangladeshi use facebook, most of whom are young and students. Now many of them are using FB by bypassing the ban through proxy servers. As the days are passing by, the proxy users are increasing in numbers.[1] Satirical writings are also communing up on FB in the mainstream media.

The ban not only affected common users, but it also affected businesses based on FB, social services such blood donors, educational pages etc.

State Minister for Posts and Telecommunications Tarana Halim, who was appointed just 1 and half months back, defended herself in a lengthy article published in newspapers claiming that the measure has saves many lives in Bangladesh. She also claims that technology will be countered by technology though FB lovers are not yet seeing any sign of that.

The ban has put the government at odds with the Facebook Generation in Bangladesh.

An ordinary citizen

Follow up:

18/12/2015

3 Ministries of Government of Bangladesh sat with Facebook representatives  coming to Dhaka.Ministries are Home,Post & Telecommmunication & Information and Communication Technology. They had detailed discussion.[1] Government wanted to have a Facebook administrator in Bangladesh and to filter the contents before they are floated in the facebook.[1] Facebook representatives didn’t give their decision immediately and told that they will send the reply later on.

Days for waiting lingering. [1]No reply came. But ban on facebook lifted ater 22 days. The lift coincided with the coming of Government ICT Adviser Shajib Wajed Joy to Bangladesh. Tarana declared that Facebook will never be closed except in emergency.

Then we see no Government agency was taking the responsibility of banning Facebook.

Ban is reimposed on Twitter, Skype and Imo.[1]